Wike’s APC Prediction about 2027 Election Exposes Nigeria’s Dangerous Power Dealings “North in 2031?” If Nyesom Wike is right and history suggests he might be then Nigeria’s presidency is less about leadership and more about rotation.
In a recent controversial statement, the former Rivers State governor and current FCT Minister, Nyesom Wike, predicted that if Bola Ahmed Tinubu wins the 2027 presidential election, the APC will rotate power back to the North by 2031.
The statement has not only rattled political elites, but has once again exposed a fundamental weakness in Nigeria’s so-called democracy: power is not earned it’s negotiated.
Wike’s Warning or Strategic Leak?
Wike’s comment may appear like just another spicy headline from a man who thrives in controversy. But let’s not forget Wike is not just a politician, he’s a political barometer. He says what most politicians think but fear to utter.
By projecting a Northern presidency in 2031, Wike isn’t speculating he’s exposing a deal Nigerians were never invited into.If power is already being “shared” eight years in advance, then what exactly are we voting for?
Zoning Politics: A Rotating Crown, Not a Republic
This is where Nigeria’s democratic experiment continues to falter. The idea that national leadership must rotate between regions is not just undemocratic it’s dangerously elitist.
Zoning wasn’t in the Constitution.
It wasn’t a decision made by voters.
It was a backdoor agreement by power brokers too afraid to let true meritocracy decide.
So when Wike says “North in 2031,” he’s reminding us that politics in Nigeria isn’t about performance it’s about geography.
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If Tinubu secures a second term in 2027, he’ll constitutionally be barred from seeking re-election in 2031. But the bigger question isn’t about Tinubu’s exit it’s who’s next in line, and why?
Wike’s statement suggests there is already a silent understanding within the APC that:
- Tinubu’s Southern presidency is a transactional interlude, not a structural shift.
- The North remains the power base, and its return is only a matter of time.
This means that, for the APC, Tinubu is simply a necessary compromise not a symbol of long-term Southern inclusion.
What Does This Say About Southern Politicians?
Here’s the harsh truth: Southern politicians have never truly owned the presidency they’ve leased it.
Obasanjo? Backed by the North after the Abiola crisis.
Jonathan? A constitutional accident turned puppet until he bit back.
Tinubu? The cost of calming post-Buhari restlessness.
Every Southern president, it seems, has a Northern expiration date attached.
Wike’s prediction may not just be a warning it may be a confession of the helplessness even the most powerful Southerners feel in a system where the “core North” decides who gets to play president.
Why Wike’s Words Matter
Critics will say Wike is just stirring the pot, trying to stay relevant or playing his own 2027 game.
But ignoring his statement would be a mistake. Wike’s track record as a political spoiler and realist gives weight to his claims.
He’s shown time and again that he understands the back-end mechanics of Nigerian politics better than most.
So when he says “APC will go North in 2031,” we should listen not because we want to, but because he’s likely not lying.
The Big Question: Who Really Chooses Nigeria’s Leaders?
Wike’s claim leaves Nigerians with a disturbing dilemma:
If presidential power is already zoned and agreed behind closed doors, what’s the point of elections?
Democracy, in its purest form, demands that citizens choose leaders based on:
- Ideas
- Performance
- Vision
But in Nigeria, we choose based on:
- Turn
- Tribe
- Tokenism
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If Tinubu wins re-election, will Nigeria simply revert to a Northern presidency as compensation?
And if so, what does that mean for national unity, Southern political relevance, and the credibility of the APC’s so-called progressivism?
Wike may be causing outrage but maybe outrage is what Nigeria needs.
Because unless we begin to dismantle the zoning culture, 2031 won’t be a democratic exercise it will be a political coronation scripted years in advance.
Do you believe Wike’s prediction is realistic or manipulative? Should Nigeria abandon zoning or formalize it once and for all? Drop your thoughts in the comments. The power chessboard is already moving.
